Language:English
Afghanistan v India
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Afghanistan (Local)
Prediction 14.48%6.91fair odd
EV +11.62%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.201%
assuming max odds 7.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.39%14.44%14.35%16.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.636.507.7117.86%15.09%15.38%12.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
India (Visit)
Prediction 85.52%1.17fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -25.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.46%85.56%85.65%87.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.62%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Afghanistan (Local): 14.48%; India (Visit): 85.52%. For Afghanistan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.91. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.71I 12.97%NM 12.39%EV +11.62%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.201% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.61%EV -6.78%E -6.22%K -75.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-17 13:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.58%E +1.14%K +1.32%G +0.113% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.78%E -6.22%K -75.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +8.58%E +1.14%K +1.32%G +0.113% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.64%E -7.07%K -95.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 13:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.34%E +0.192%K +0.224%G +0.003% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.34%E +0.192%K +0.224%G +0.003% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.34%E +0.192%K +0.224%G +0.003% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.34%E +0.192%K +0.224%G +0.003% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.34%E +0.192%K +0.224%G +0.003% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.34%E +0.192%K +0.224%G +0.003% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.34%E +0.192%K +0.224%G +0.003% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.34%E +0.192%K +0.224%G +0.003% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +1.34%E +0.192%K +0.224%G +0.003% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.78%E -6.22%K -75.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.89%E -0.907%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.89%E -0.907%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.89%E -0.907%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.89%E -0.907%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.89%E -0.907%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.89%E -0.907%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -8.21%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.36%E -2.97%K -25.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.51%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.22%E -3.76%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 13:51 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.13%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.22%E -3.76%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.13%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.22%E -3.76%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 13:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.13%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.22%E -3.76%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 13:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -16.75%E -2.91%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -18.92%E -3.38%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-17 13:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -18.92%E -3.38%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-17 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-09-17 13:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-09-17 13:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10% | 2.8% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |