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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Afghanistan v India

开赛时间： 2026-09-15 14:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Afghanistan (主队)

预测 14.50%6.90公平赔率
EV +8.77%
优势 +1.17%
Kelly +1.35%
增长率 +0.118%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.69%14.59%14.40%16.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.546.597.5018.18%15.30%15.16%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

India (客队)

预测 85.50%1.17公平赔率
EV -2.53%
优势 -2.22%
Kelly -18.10%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.14

博彩公司预测分布
83.08%85.41%85.60%87.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.091.111.101.1491.74%90.33%90.91%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Afghanistan (主队)：14.50%；India (客队)：85.50%。 对于“Afghanistan (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.90。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.50，对应+8.77%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.77%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.118%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.81%E -6.25%K -75.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 13:55
GTbets🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.77%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.118%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.81%E -6.25%K -75.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 13:55
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.52%E +0.217%K +0.254%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.52%E +0.217%K +0.254%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.52%E +0.217%K +0.254%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 13:55
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.52%E +0.217%K +0.254%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.52%E +0.217%K +0.254%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.52%E +0.217%K +0.254%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.52%E +0.217%K +0.254%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.52%E +0.217%K +0.254%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 13:40
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.52%E +0.217%K +0.254%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 13:40
FanDuel🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.28%E -0.648%K -0.764%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.10%E -4.59%K -46.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 13:55
Pinnacle🎯6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV -4.42%E -0.671%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.10%E -4.59%K -46.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 07:20
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 13:55
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 13:55
SportsBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.36%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.10%E -4.59%K -46.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 13:55
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.24%E -3.79%K -35.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.24%E -3.79%K -35.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 13:55
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.24%E -3.79%K -35.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 13:55
TAB🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.24%E -3.79%K -35.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 13:45
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.53%E -2.22%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 13:55
Bet Victor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -18.78%E -3.35%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.10%E -4.59%K -46.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 13:44
betano_uk🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -18.78%E -3.35%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.10%E -4.59%K -46.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 13:44
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -20.23%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.24%E -3.79%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 13:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-09-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-09-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-09-15 13:55
Matchbook◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-09-15 13:55