The School of Odds
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Trinbago Knight Riders v Saint Lucia Kings

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trinbago Knight Riders (Local)

Prediction 67.83%1.47fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.93%67.55%68.18%70.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.361.4575.19%72.90%73.53%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Lucia Kings (Visit)

Prediction 32.17%3.11fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.922%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.67%32.45%31.82%36.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.573.003.053.2038.91%33.33%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trinbago Knight Riders (Local): 67.83%; Saint Lucia Kings (Visit): 32.17%. For Saint Lucia Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.43%E -6.25%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +2.95%E +0.922%K +1.34%G +0.040%5.3%2026-08-26 22:44
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -7.75%E -5.70%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -1.56%E -0.508%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 22:54
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -7.08%E -5.16%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -1.88%E -0.615%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 22:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -7.08%E -5.16%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -1.88%E -0.615%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 22:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -7.08%E -5.16%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -1.88%E -0.615%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 22:50
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.75%E -5.70%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.88%E -0.615%K -0.915%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.75%E -5.70%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.88%E -0.615%K -0.915%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.75%E -5.70%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.88%E -0.615%K -0.915%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.75%E -5.70%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.88%E -0.615%K -0.915%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 22:49
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.75%E -5.70%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.88%E -0.615%K -0.915%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.75%E -5.70%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.88%E -0.615%K -0.915%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 22:50
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.49%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.49%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:49
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.49%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:49
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.79%E -7.36%K -29.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -3.49%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 22:48
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.79%E -7.36%K -29.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -3.49%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -5.04%E -3.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -12.49%E -4.59%K -7.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 22:49
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -1.65%E -1.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -17.32%E -6.74%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-26 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-26 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-26 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-26 22:50