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Trinbago Knight Riders v Jamaica Kingsmen

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trinbago Knight Riders (Local)

Prediction 59.61%1.68fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -7.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%59.69%59.61%61.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6065.36%63.89%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit)

Prediction 40.39%2.48fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.933%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.89%40.31%40.39%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.292.362.382.4243.67%42.37%42.02%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trinbago Knight Riders (Local): 59.61%; Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit): 40.39%. For Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -2.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:54
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 22:55
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 22:55
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -7.60%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -7.51%E -3.28%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -8.20%E -5.32%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -2.26%E -0.933%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 22:14
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 22:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-29 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-29 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-29 22:55