The School of Odds
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Trinbago Knight Riders v Guyana Amazon Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-08-31 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trinbago Knight Riders (Local)

Prediction 55.49%1.80fair odd
EV +7.64%
Edge +3.94%
Kelly +8.13%
Growth +0.622%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.27%54.57%55.34%57.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.781.831.9462.11%56.33%54.64%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Guyana Amazon Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 44.51%2.25fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.941%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%45.43%44.66%51.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.812.021.972.2055.25%49.39%50.76%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trinbago Knight Riders (Local): 55.49%; Guyana Amazon Warriors (Visit): 44.51%. For Trinbago Knight Riders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV +7.64%E +3.94%K +8.13%G +0.622%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -19.43%E -10.74%K -23.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 19:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +1.54%E +0.842%K +1.86%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -12.31%E -6.25%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +1.54%E +0.842%K +1.86%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -12.31%E -6.25%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +1.54%E +0.842%K +1.86%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -12.31%E -6.25%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +1.54%E +0.842%K +1.86%G +0.029%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -12.75%E -6.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +1.54%E +0.842%K +1.86%G +0.029%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -12.75%E -6.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +1.54%E +0.842%K +1.86%G +0.029%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -12.75%E -6.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +1.54%E +0.842%K +1.86%G +0.029%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -12.75%E -6.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:50
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +1.54%E +0.842%K +1.86%G +0.029%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -12.75%E -6.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +1.54%E +0.842%K +1.86%G +0.029%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -12.75%E -6.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.54%E +0.842%K +1.86%G +0.029%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.98%E -7.84%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.01%E -2.32%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.07%E -0.941%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 20:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.01%E -2.32%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 20:45
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.67%E -3.34%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 20:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -5.67%E -3.34%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -9.64%E -4.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.78%E -4.04%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.34%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.07%E -0.941%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 20:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.34%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:58
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.67%E -6.63%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-08-31 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-31 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-08-31 20:55