The School of Odds
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Trinbago Knight Riders v Barbados Tridents

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trinbago Knight Riders (Local)

Prediction 66.16%1.51fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -9.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.61%66.11%66.16%67.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.421.431.4571.94%70.30%69.93%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barbados Tridents (Visit)

Prediction 33.84%2.95fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.63%33.89%33.84%34.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.692.842.852.8937.17%35.26%35.09%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trinbago Knight Riders (Local): 66.16%; Barbados Tridents (Visit): 33.84%. For Barbados Tridents (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.89, with an expected value of -2.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.29%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.24%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 23:50
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:55
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:55
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:55
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.61%EV -6.72%E -4.76%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.39%EV -8.97%E -3.33%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 23:45
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -2.20%E -0.760%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.87%E -1.00%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 23:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.87%E -1.00%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.51%EV -8.04%E -5.78%K -20.61%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -6.60%E -2.39%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 23:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-28 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-28 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-28 23:55