The School of Odds
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St Kitts & Nevis Patriots v Trinbago Knight Riders

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Local)

Prediction 42.73%2.34fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.748%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.57%42.74%42.73%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.202.202.3050.00%45.50%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Trinbago Knight Riders (Visit)

Prediction 57.27%1.75fair odd
EV +3.09%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +3.86%
Growth +0.119%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%57.26%57.27%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.651.8063.69%60.50%60.61%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Local): 42.73%; Trinbago Knight Riders (Visit): 57.27%. For Trinbago Knight Riders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -14.54%E -7.27%K -14.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +3.09%E +1.71%K +3.86%G +0.119%5.6%2026-08-08 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.98%E -5.81%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -3.79%E -2.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 22:59
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 22:59
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 23:04
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 22:59
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 22:59
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 22:59
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 23:00
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 23:05
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.72%E -0.748%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.09%E -6.42%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 23:03
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.72%E -0.748%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.09%E -6.42%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-08-08 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-08-08 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-08 23:05