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St Kitts & Nevis Patriots v Jamaica Kingsmen

Kickoff: 2026-08-27 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Local)

Prediction 57.64%1.73fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -5.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.94%57.86%57.18%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.621.651.6764.94%61.58%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit)

Prediction 42.36%2.36fair odd
EV +5.89%
Edge +2.36%
Kelly +3.93%
Growth +0.231%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%42.14%42.82%44.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.272.252.5047.17%43.96%44.44%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Local): 57.64%; Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit): 42.36%. For Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -9.50%E -6.05%K -16.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +5.89%E +2.36%K +3.93%G +0.231%3.7%2026-08-27 22:55
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -9.50%E -6.05%K -16.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +5.89%E +2.36%K +3.93%G +0.231%3.7%2026-08-27 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -11.23%E -7.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +2.93%E +1.20%K +2.05%G +0.060%6.1%2026-08-27 22:55
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.50%E -6.05%K -16.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +1.66%E +0.690%K +1.18%G +0.020%5.4%2026-08-27 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:55
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:55
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.50%E -6.05%K -16.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.93%E -4.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.93%E -4.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 22:54
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -10.20%E -4.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-08-27 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-27 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-27 22:56