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St Kitts & Nevis Patriots v Antigua & Barbuda Falcons

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Local)

Prediction 46.73%2.14fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.887%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%46.93%46.73%48.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.052.042.1052.08%48.87%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 53.27%1.88fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.20%53.07%53.27%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.761.781.8358.48%56.66%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Local): 46.73%; Antigua & Barbuda Falcons (Visit): 53.27%. For St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.86%E -0.887%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 22:43
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.86%E -0.887%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 22:55
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.86%E -0.887%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.85%E -4.54%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.86%E -0.887%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.85%E -4.54%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 22:50
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.86%E -0.887%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 22:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:50
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:50
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:50
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -5.60%E -2.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.47%E -3.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -10.27%E -5.35%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-08-30 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-08-30 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-08-30 22:55