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Jamaica Kingsmen v Trinbago Knight Riders

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 23:59 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jamaica Kingsmen (Local)

Prediction 34.13%2.93fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.958%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%34.55%34.13%37.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.622.552.8539.68%38.19%39.22%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Trinbago Knight Riders (Visit)

Prediction 65.87%1.52fair odd
EV +0.123%
Edge +0.081%
Kelly +0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.65%65.45%65.87%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.501.5271.43%67.70%66.67%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jamaica Kingsmen (Local): 34.13%; Trinbago Knight Riders (Visit): 65.87%. For Trinbago Knight Riders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.518. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.520, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.123%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV +0.123%E +0.081%K +0.237%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:55
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -0.535%E -0.355%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -10.58%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.19%E -0.796%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 23:55
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -10.58%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.19%E -0.796%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 23:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.19%E -0.796%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.19%E -0.796%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:54
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.19%E -0.796%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.19%E -0.796%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:54
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.19%E -0.796%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.19%E -0.796%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.19%E -0.796%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -13.99%E -5.55%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -3.83%E -2.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 23:38
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.49%E -3.09%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:53
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.49%E -3.09%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 23:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.73%E -0.958%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.46%E -4.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 23:54
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.78%E -5.56%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 23:53
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.78%E -5.56%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 23:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-15 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-15 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-15 23:55