The School of Odds
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Jamaica Kingsmen v St Kitts & Nevis Patriots

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jamaica Kingsmen (Local)

Prediction 40.51%2.47fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.63%40.51%41.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.302.282.3744.44%43.47%43.86%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 59.49%1.68fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.31%59.37%59.49%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.601.631.6364.10%62.32%61.35%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jamaica Kingsmen (Local): 40.51%; St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Visit): 59.49%. For St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.63, with an expected value of -3.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.00%E -1.69%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.00%E -1.69%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:45
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:40
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 23:49
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.65%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:50
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.65%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.65%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:49
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.65%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.65%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.65%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:49
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.65%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:49
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.65%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.65%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:49
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 23:49
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 23:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-08-18 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-18 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-18 23:55