The School of Odds
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Jamaica Kingsmen v Guyana Amazon Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jamaica Kingsmen (Local)

Prediction 40.02%2.50fair odd
EV +2.45%
Edge +0.958%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.79%39.78%40.02%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.332.5644.44%42.27%42.92%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Guyana Amazon Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 59.98%1.67fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -6.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%60.22%59.98%63.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.561.571.6067.11%64.27%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jamaica Kingsmen (Local): 40.02%; Guyana Amazon Warriors (Visit): 59.98%. For Jamaica Kingsmen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV +2.45%E +0.958%K +1.57%G +0.039%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -10.63%E -7.13%K -21.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 23:54
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.052%E +0.021%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 23:54
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.052%E +0.021%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.03%E -6.69%K -20.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.052%E +0.021%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.03%E -6.69%K -20.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 23:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -6.35%E -2.71%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-13 23:44
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 23:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 23:54
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:54
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:54
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:55
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-13 23:38
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-13 23:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-08-13 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-08-13 23:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-08-13 23:54