The School of Odds
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Guyana Amazon Warriors v St Kitts & Nevis Patriots

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guyana Amazon Warriors (Local)

Prediction 62.32%1.60fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -6.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.51%62.20%62.06%63.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.491.5569.44%66.64%67.11%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 37.68%2.65fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.778%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.43%37.80%37.94%39.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.362.542.532.6042.37%39.41%39.53%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guyana Amazon Warriors (Local): 62.32%; St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Visit): 37.68%. For St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -2.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.41%E -2.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.79%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.54%E -2.64%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -11.07%E -4.69%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.79%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 18:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.79%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.79%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.53%E -4.35%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.02%E -0.778%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.53%E -4.35%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -4.66%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 18:55
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.15%E -4.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.02%E -0.778%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.15%E -4.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.02%E -0.778%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.15%E -4.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.02%E -0.778%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.15%E -4.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.02%E -0.778%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.15%E -4.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.02%E -0.778%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.15%E -4.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.02%E -0.778%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.15%E -4.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.02%E -0.778%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.15%E -4.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.02%E -0.778%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.15%E -4.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -8.05%E -3.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.26%E -7.13%K -23.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -5.79%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.26%E -7.13%K -23.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -5.79%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-09-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-09-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-06 18:50