The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Guyana Amazon Warriors v Jamaica Kingsmen

Kickoff: 2026-09-04 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guyana Amazon Warriors (Local)

Prediction 63.51%1.57fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -9.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.47%63.44%63.43%64.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.481.5069.44%67.66%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit)

Prediction 36.49%2.74fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.52%36.56%36.57%37.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.592.602.6540.32%38.64%38.46%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guyana Amazon Warriors (Local): 63.51%; Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit): 36.49%. For Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -3.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 09:35
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 09:35
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 09:34
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 06:39
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.37%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -9.50%E -3.83%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:10
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:00
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:00
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:00
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:59
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.28%E -4.99%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.91%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 10:30
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 09:35
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 09:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-09-04 13:25