The School of Odds
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Guyana Amazon Warriors v Jamaica Kingsmen

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guyana Amazon Warriors (Local)

Prediction 57.74%1.73fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%57.63%57.84%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.631.6762.50%61.02%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit)

Prediction 42.26%2.37fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.37%42.16%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.252.3046.51%44.84%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guyana Amazon Warriors (Local): 57.74%; Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit): 42.26%. For Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -2.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 12:49
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 12:49
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:49
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:50
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.87%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 09:45
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.60%E -2.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 12:53
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.89%E -3.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.89%E -3.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:40
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.89%E -3.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:40
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.89%E -3.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:40
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.89%E -3.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.89%E -3.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.89%E -3.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.89%E -3.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.89%E -3.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:25
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30