The School of Odds
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Barbados Tridents v St Kitts & Nevis Patriots

Kickoff: 2026-09-10 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barbados Tridents (Local)

Prediction 53.60%1.87fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.53%53.48%53.62%54.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.771.781.8057.80%56.58%56.18%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 46.40%2.16fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.79%46.52%46.38%47.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.022.002.1050.76%49.58%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barbados Tridents (Local): 53.60%; St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Visit): 46.40%. For St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -2.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.56%E -1.22%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 03:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.56%E -1.22%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 03:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:24
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:24
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:25
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:24
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -8.59%E -4.36%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.13%E -2.90%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 05:05
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 03:09
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.74%E -3.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.42%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 03:09
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 03:08
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 03:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 07:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.66%E -3.85%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 52.24%1.75I 57.14%NM 47.76%19.6%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 52.24%1.75I 57.14%NM 47.76%19.6%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 54.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 45.31%26.1%2026-09-09 17:20