The School of Odds
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Barbados Tridents v Saint Lucia Kings

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barbados Tridents (Local)

Prediction 54.83%1.82fair odd
EV +3.63%
Edge +1.92%
Kelly +4.08%
Growth +0.148%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%53.71%54.83%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.751.8959.88%57.10%57.14%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Lucia Kings (Visit)

Prediction 45.17%2.21fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -4.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.29%45.17%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.072.082.1054.05%48.24%48.08%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barbados Tridents (Local): 54.83%; Saint Lucia Kings (Visit): 45.17%. For Barbados Tridents (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV +3.63%E +1.92%K +4.08%G +0.148%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -16.44%E -8.89%K -19.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.30%E -0.724%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 22:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.30%E -0.724%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 22:44
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 22:45
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 22:50
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 22:50
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.14%E -2.97%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.50%E -3.14%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 22:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.24%E -3.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.43%E -5.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.43%E -5.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-06 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-06 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-06 22:55