The School of Odds
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Barbados Tridents v Jamaica Kingsmen

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barbados Tridents (Local)

Prediction 60.00%1.67fair odd
EV +2.00%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +2.86%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.50%60.20%60.05%62.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.7066.67%63.60%63.69%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit)

Prediction 40.00%2.50fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.650%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.88%39.80%39.95%44.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.352.382.4647.17%42.53%42.02%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barbados Tridents (Local): 60.00%; Jamaica Kingsmen (Visit): 40.00%. For Barbados Tridents (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +2.00%E +1.18%K +2.86%G +0.057%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -15.20%E -7.17%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 23:55
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 23:55
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 23:55
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 23:55
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.60%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.00%E -4.44%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 23:55
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.00%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 23:54
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.00%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 23:54
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -10.00%E -6.67%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -1.60%E -0.650%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-09-12 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-09-12 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-09-12 23:55