The School of Odds
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Antigua & Barbuda Falcons v Guyana Amazon Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons (Local)

Prediction 38.65%2.59fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.484%
Kelly +0.783%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.41%38.65%37.97%41.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.352.6244.44%41.31%42.55%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Guyana Amazon Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 61.35%1.63fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.59%61.35%62.03%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.571.601.6067.11%63.80%62.50%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Antigua & Barbuda Falcons (Local): 38.65%; Guyana Amazon Warriors (Visit): 61.35%. For Antigua & Barbuda Falcons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +1.27%E +0.484%K +0.783%G +0.010%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 22:54
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +1.27%E +0.484%K +0.783%G +0.010%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.496%E +0.191%K +0.310%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:55
SportsBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -0.664%E -0.258%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -8.59%E -5.77%K -17.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 22:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:44
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:44
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:44
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:44
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:44
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -13.03%E -5.79%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -2.46%E -1.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 21:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-08-23 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-08-23 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-08-23 22:54