The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons v Barbados Tridents

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons (Local)

Prediction 45.60%2.19fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.76%45.61%45.60%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.092.102.1149.02%47.82%47.62%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barbados Tridents (Visit)

Prediction 54.40%1.84fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.39%54.40%55.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.731.741.7759.52%57.66%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Antigua & Barbuda Falcons (Local): 45.60%; Barbados Tridents (Visit): 54.40%. For Barbados Tridents (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -3.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -3.78%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 22:49
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 22:49
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:54
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:54
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:54
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:54
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -6.06%E -2.94%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -8.61%E -5.12%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:49
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.98%E -3.42%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-08-25 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-25 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-08-25 22:54