Troy Nash v Ethan Perez

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Boxing

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Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Troy Nash (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -87.72%

Kelly -714.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

80.21%0.00%0.00%81.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.111.121.111.1490%89%90%88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ethan Perez (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -15.38%

Kelly -18.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.26%0.00%0.00%14.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

6.006.176.006.5017%16%17%15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -4.76%

Kelly -5.00%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 21.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

4.41%0.00%0.00%4.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

18.0019.0018.0021.006%5%6%5%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.32%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%	7.9%	2026-07-22 11:49
Paddy Power	1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%	18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%	12.3%	2026-07-22 11:52
1xBet	1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%	18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%	12.3%	2026-07-22 12:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.