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Tina Rahimi v Sacha Ryan Dryden

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 00:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tina Rahimi (Local)

Prediction 89.21%1.12fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +12.13%
Growth +0.206%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.16%89.21%89.21%89.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.071.081.1498.04%93.17%92.59%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacha Ryan Dryden (Visit)

Prediction 10.79%9.27fair odd
EV -0.504%
Edge -0.055%
Kelly -0.061%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.40%10.79%10.79%17.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.257.407.809.2219.05%13.51%12.82%10.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tina Rahimi (Local): 89.21%; Sacha Ryan Dryden (Visit): 10.79%. For Tina Rahimi (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.70%.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV +1.70%E +1.49%K +12.13%G +0.206%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -43.35%E -8.26%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 21:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -1.87%E -1.70%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -32.55%E -5.21%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.76%E -2.53%K -30.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -19.07%E -2.54%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 22:19
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.60%EV -4.55%E -4.25%K -64.95%G +0.000%9.22I 10.85%NM 10.40%EV -0.504%E -0.055%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 23:20
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.82%EV -9.01%E -8.83%K -450.36%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.18%EV -12.59%E -1.55%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 00:34
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.82%EV -9.01%E -8.83%K -450.36%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.18%EV -12.59%E -1.55%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%7.9%2026-07-25 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 77.36%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.13%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.51%17.5%2026-07-26 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 77.36%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.13%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.51%17.5%2026-07-26 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 77.68%8.40I 11.90%NM 9.99%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.34%19.2%2026-07-26 00:40

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