The School of Odds

Tina Rahimi v Sacha Ryan Dryden

2026-07-25 22:15 UTC — Boxing

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tina Rahimi (Local)

Prediction 83.48%1.20fair odd
EV -6.50%
Edge -5.80%
Kelly -54.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.69%83.73%83.48%85.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.121.121.121.1289%89%89%89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sacha Ryan Dryden (Visit)

Prediction 16.52%6.05fair odd
EV +7.19%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.094%

assuming max odds 6.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.72%16.27%16.52%17.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.355.865.836.4919%17%17%15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

10 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 85.28%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.16%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.72%EV +7.19%E +1.11%K +1.31%G +0.094%4.7%2026-07-24 14:35
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.16%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV +4.88%E +0.769%K +0.912%G +0.045%5.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.23%E +0.517%K +0.615%G +0.020%5.3%2026-07-24 14:35
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.16%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -3.71%E -0.636%K -0.768%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 14:35
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.16%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -3.71%E -0.636%K -0.768%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 14:35
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.03%E -0.875%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 14:35
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.16%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 14:35
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.69%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.16%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.31%EV -11.64%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 82.69%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.16%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.31%EV -11.64%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 79.89%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%8.8%2026-07-24 14:35
1xBet1.13I 88.50%NM 81.18%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.04%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.78%9.0%2026-07-24 14:35
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.35%9.6%2026-07-24 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.99%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%11.1%2026-07-24 14:35
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 78.99%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%11.1%2026-07-24 14:35
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 78.99%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%11.1%2026-07-24 14:35
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 78.95%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.32%13.1%2026-07-24 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 30.15%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.93%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.93%183.5%2026-07-24 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 30.15%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.93%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.93%183.5%2026-07-24 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-24 14:35