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Steven Butler v Ramadan Hiseni
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Steven Butler (Local)
assuming max odds 1.33
Ramadan Hiseni (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Steven Butler (Local): 73.18%; Ramadan Hiseni (Visit): 26.82%. For Steven Butler (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.33, with an expected value of -2.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.
2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -2.67%E -2.01%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -4.13%E -3.15%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -9.63%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 06:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -4.13%E -3.15%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -9.63%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 06:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.59%E -4.34%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.79%E -6.18%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 15:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.43% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.43% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 15:25 |