Raul Curiel v Quinton Randall

2026-08-01 23:40 UTC — Boxing

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

85%

15%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Raul Curiel (Local)

Prediction 84.93%1.18fair odd

EV -6.58%

Edge -5.98%

Kelly -65.75%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.93%84.93%84.93%84.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.101.101.101.1090.91%90.91%90.91%90.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Quinton Randall (Visit)

Prediction 15.07%6.64fair odd

EV -6.58%

Edge -1.06%

Kelly -1.26%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.07%15.07%15.07%15.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

6.206.206.206.2016.13%16.13%16.13%16.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.58%E -5.98%K -65.75%G +0.000%	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -6.58%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-26 09:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
SportsBet	1.13I 88.50%NM 81.89%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%	8.1%	2026-07-26 09:15
Paddy Power	1.10I 90.91%NM 81.28%	6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%	18.00I 5.56%NM 4.97%	11.8%	2026-07-26 09:15