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Mikie Tallon v Leandro Blanc
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mikie Tallon (Local)
assuming max odds 1.06
Leandro Blanc (Visit)
assuming max odds 19.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mikie Tallon (Local): 91.01%; Leandro Blanc (Visit): 8.99%. For Leandro Blanc (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.13. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +70.76%.
6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -8.08%E -8.00%K -807.75%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +70.76%E +3.72%K +3.93%G +2.78% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -8.08%E -8.00%K -807.75%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +70.76%E +3.72%K +3.93%G +2.78% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.25%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.57%G +0.000% | 14.24I 7.02%NM 6.75%EV +27.98%E +1.97%K +2.11%G +0.591% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.77%EV -4.44%E -4.23%K -88.74%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.23%EV -25.40%E -3.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -32.59%E -4.35%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 16:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.94% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.59% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.31% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.31% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.61% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.33% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.61% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.33% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 16:20 |