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Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.10
assuming max odds 11.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jermaine Dhliwayo (Local): 88.11%; Jacob Robinson (Visit): 11.89%. For Jacob Robinson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.41. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +30.80%.
5 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -7.49%E -7.13%K -149.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +30.80%E +2.80%K +3.08%G +0.949% | 4.3% | 2026-10-25 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -7.49%E -7.13%K -149.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +30.80%E +2.80%K +3.08%G +0.949% | 4.3% | 2026-10-25 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.80%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -26.28%E -4.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-25 00:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.36% | 9.8% | 2026-10-25 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32% | 10.6% | 2026-10-25 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.28% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.97% | 11.8% | 2026-10-25 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.28% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.97% | 11.8% | 2026-10-25 00:00 |