The School of Odds
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Jermaine Dhliwayo v Jacob Robinson

2026-10-25 19:20 UTC — Boxing

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jermaine Dhliwayo (Local)

Prediction 85.37%1.17fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -4.72%
Kelly -47.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.39%85.53%85.53%87.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1192.59%91.23%90.91%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacob Robinson (Visit)

Prediction 14.63%6.84fair odd
EV +12.19%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.223%

assuming max odds 7.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.54%14.47%14.47%15.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.466.507.6716.67%15.48%15.38%13.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jermaine Dhliwayo (Local): 85.37%; Jacob Robinson (Visit): 14.63%. For Jacob Robinson (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.84. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.67, producing a positive expected value of +12.19%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.46%EV -6.09%E -5.54%K -60.90%G +0.000%7.67I 13.04%NM 12.54%EV +12.19%E +1.59%K +1.83%G +0.223%3.9%2026-10-25 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.09%E -5.54%K -60.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.39%E +0.342%K +0.399%G +0.010%5.2%2026-10-25 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.09%E -5.54%K -60.90%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -3.46%E -0.524%K -0.618%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.09%E -5.54%K -60.90%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -3.46%E -0.524%K -0.618%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.09%E -5.54%K -60.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.92%E -0.757%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.09%E -5.54%K -60.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.92%E -0.757%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.94%E -6.37%K -77.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -4.92%E -0.757%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.09%E -5.54%K -60.90%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -9.31%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.80%E -7.22%K -97.47%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -9.31%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 00:00
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.80%E -7.22%K -97.47%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -9.31%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.24%E -4.72%K -47.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.24%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 00:00
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.09%E -5.54%K -60.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.24%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 00:00
picklebet_au🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.94%E -6.37%K -77.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -12.24%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%7.5%2026-10-25 00:00
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.37%6.62I 15.11%NM 13.85%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.78%9.0%2026-10-25 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.36%9.8%2026-10-25 00:00
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%10.6%2026-10-25 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.28%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%18.00I 5.56%NM 4.97%11.8%2026-10-25 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.28%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%18.00I 5.56%NM 4.97%11.8%2026-10-25 00:00
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.98%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%12.6%2026-10-25 00:00
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.98%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%12.6%2026-10-25 00:00