The School of Odds
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Emilio Garcia v Diego Zuniga

2026-11-14 00:00 UTC — Boxing

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emilio Garcia (Local)

Prediction 88.34%1.13fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -5.11%
Kelly -78.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.98%88.45%88.24%90.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.061.061.0795.24%94.34%94.34%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diego Zuniga (Visit)

Prediction 11.66%8.58fair odd
EV +17.61%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.341%

assuming max odds 10.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.50%11.55%11.76%14.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.158.0010.0915.38%12.28%12.50%9.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Emilio Garcia (Local): 88.34%; Diego Zuniga (Visit): 11.66%. For Diego Zuniga (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.58. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.09, producing a positive expected value of +17.61%.

7 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.49%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -105.93%G +0.000%10.09I 9.91%NM 9.51%EV +17.61%E +1.75%K +1.94%G +0.341%4.3%2026-11-12 16:20
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.24%E -6.89%K -144.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.56%E +1.66%K +1.84%G +0.305%5.2%2026-11-12 16:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.47%E -5.11%K -78.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +4.91%E +0.545%K +0.613%G +0.030%4.6%2026-11-12 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.47%E -5.11%K -78.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +4.91%E +0.545%K +0.613%G +0.030%4.6%2026-11-12 16:20
Bet Right🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.47%E -5.11%K -78.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.922%E -0.108%K -0.123%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-12 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -105.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.922%E -0.108%K -0.123%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-12 16:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -105.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.75%E -0.844%K -0.964%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-12 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.47%E -5.11%K -78.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.58%E -1.68%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-12 16:19
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.57%EV -7.24%E -6.89%K -144.78%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV -13.74%E -1.86%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-12 17:04
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.57%EV -7.24%E -6.89%K -144.78%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV -13.74%E -1.86%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-12 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -105.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -18.41%E -2.63%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-12 16:20
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -7.24%E -6.89%K -144.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -18.41%E -2.63%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-12 16:20
picklebet_au🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -105.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -24.23%E -3.73%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-12 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (7)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.05%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%6.6%2026-11-12 16:20
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.75%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.78%9.0%2026-11-12 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.29%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%9.9%2026-11-12 16:19
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.29%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%9.9%2026-11-12 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.27%11.6%2026-11-12 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.27%11.6%2026-11-12 16:19
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.56%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.26%11.8%2026-11-12 16:19