The School of Odds

Diego Pacheco v Immanuwel Aleem

2026-07-19 03:00 — Boxing

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

7 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Diego Pacheco (Local)

Odds
1.0397.09%Min
1.0595.65%Mean
1.0496.15%Median
1.0694.34%Max
Consensus probabilities
89.01%1.124Min
91.29%1.095Max
90.40%1.106Mean
90.66%1.103Median
90.54%1.105IQM
90.49%1.105Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.06 under the IQM model: 90.54%

EV -4.03%Edge -3.80%Kelly -67.16%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Immanuwel Aleem (Visit)

Odds
8.5011.76%Min
9.6910.32%Mean
10.0010.00%Median
11.009.09%Max
Consensus probabilities
8.71%11.476Min
10.99%9.095Max
9.60%10.416Mean
9.34%10.712Median
9.46%10.569IQM
9.51%10.519Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 11.00 under the IQM model: 9.46%

EV +4.08%Edge +0.371%Kelly +0.408%Growth +0.017%

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDiego Pacheco (Local)Immanuwel Aleem (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.05I 95.24% NM 91.29%EV -4.94% E -4.70% K -98.70% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.71%EV +4.08% E +0.371% K +0.408% G +0.017%4.3%2026-07-07 11:19
theScore Bet1.04I 96.15% NM 90.99%EV -5.84% E -5.62% K -146.01% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 9.01%EV -0.650% E -0.062% K -0.068% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15% NM 90.66%EV -5.84% E -5.62% K -146.01% G +0.000%10.10I 9.90% NM 9.34%EV -4.43% E -0.439% K -0.487% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 11:20
LowVig.ag1.04I 96.15% NM 90.66%EV -5.84% E -5.62% K -146.01% G +0.000%10.10I 9.90% NM 9.34%EV -4.43% E -0.439% K -0.487% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 11:20
PlayUp1.05I 95.24% NM 90.50%EV -4.94% E -4.70% K -98.70% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.50%EV -5.38% E -0.538% K -0.598% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 11:20
BetUS1.04I 96.15% NM 90.58%EV -5.84% E -5.62% K -146.01% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.42%EV -5.38% E -0.538% K -0.598% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 11:20
DraftKings1.06I 94.34% NM 89.96%EV -4.03% E -3.80% K -67.16% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 10.04%EV -10.11% E -1.06% K -1.19% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 11:20
Bet Right1.06I 94.34% NM 89.96%EV -4.03% E -3.80% K -67.16% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 10.04%EV -10.11% E -1.06% K -1.19% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 11:20
Betsson1.03I 97.09% NM 89.63%EV -6.75% E -6.55% K -224.86% G +0.000%8.90I 11.24% NM 10.37%EV -15.79% E -1.77% K -2.00% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-07 11:20
NordicBet1.03I 97.09% NM 89.63%EV -6.75% E -6.55% K -224.86% G +0.000%8.90I 11.24% NM 10.37%EV -15.79% E -1.77% K -2.00% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-07 11:19
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24% NM 89.01%EV -4.94% E -4.70% K -98.70% G +0.000%8.50I 11.76% NM 10.99%EV -19.57% E -2.30% K -2.61% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 11:19
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15% NM 89.10%EV -5.84% E -5.62% K -146.01% G +0.000%8.50I 11.76% NM 10.90%EV -19.57% E -2.30% K -2.61% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (7)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34% NM 87.94%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.47%26.00I 3.85% NM 3.59%7.3%2026-07-07 11:19
1xBet1.06I 94.34% NM 86.91%8.95I 11.17% NM 10.29%33.00I 3.03% NM 2.79%8.5%2026-07-07 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24% NM 87.31%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.17%26.00I 3.85% NM 3.53%9.1%2026-07-07 11:20
Coral1.05I 95.24% NM 87.31%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.17%26.00I 3.85% NM 3.53%9.1%2026-07-07 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34% NM 32.27%1.01I 99.01% NM 33.87%1.01I 99.01% NM 33.87%192.4%2026-07-07 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34% NM 32.27%1.01I 99.01% NM 33.87%1.01I 99.01% NM 33.87%192.4%2026-07-07 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34% NM 32.27%1.01I 99.01% NM 33.87%1.01I 99.01% NM 33.87%192.4%2026-07-07 11:20