The School of Odds
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David Nyika v Floyd Masson

2026-08-08 11:00 UTC — Boxing

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

David Nyika (Local)

Prediction 74.43%1.34fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -4.31%
Kelly -20.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.07%74.43%74.23%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.261.251.2780.00%79.64%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Floyd Masson (Visit)

Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd
EV +2.27%
Edge +0.566%
Kelly +0.755%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.57%25.77%25.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.713.604.0027.78%26.97%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: David Nyika (Local): 74.43%; Floyd Masson (Visit): 25.57%. For Floyd Masson (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.27%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.27%E +0.566%K +0.755%G +0.017%5.0%2026-08-01 20:34
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.47%E -4.31%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.85%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:34
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.13%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 20:34
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.21%E -4.93%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:35
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.21%E -4.93%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:34
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 20:35
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 20:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.66%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.54%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.80%8.2%2026-08-01 20:34
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%8.5%2026-08-01 20:34
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.86%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%9.2%2026-08-01 20:34
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 70.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%9.5%2026-08-01 20:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%9.5%2026-08-01 21:14
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 68.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%9.6%2026-08-01 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%9.6%2026-08-01 20:34
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 68.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.36%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.23%12.5%2026-08-01 20:34