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David Nyika v Floyd Masson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
David Nyika (Local)
assuming max odds 1.21
Floyd Masson (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.01
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: David Nyika (Local): 79.16%; Floyd Masson (Visit): 20.84%. For Floyd Masson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.42%.
5 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.20%EV -8.18%E -7.05%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.80%EV +4.42%E +0.882%K +1.10%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.20%EV -8.18%E -7.05%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.80%EV +4.42%E +0.882%K +1.10%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.39%E -6.31%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.12%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 15:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -4.22%E -3.49%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -17.67%E -4.47%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 05:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -4.22%E -3.49%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -17.67%E -4.47%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 05:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (5)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.64% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.54% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.83% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.42% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41% | 8.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.11% | 9.2% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.47% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34% | 10.1% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.47% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34% | 10.1% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
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