The School of Odds

Charles Harris Jr v Jason Limon

2026-07-18 19:30 UTC — Boxing

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

4 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Charles Harris Jr (Local)

Prediction 69.09%1.45fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -3.90%
Kelly -14.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.65%69.08%69.12%69.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.341.361.361.3775%74%74%73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Jason Limon (Visit)

Prediction 30.91%3.24fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.52%30.92%30.88%31.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.033.003.1033%33%33%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.34%E -3.90%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 12:55
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.34%E -3.90%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 15:44
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.34%E -3.90%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 12:40
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 12:45
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 13:54
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.72%E -4.98%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 15:44
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.41%E -5.53%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 14:00
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.41%E -5.53%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 12:45
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.41%E -5.53%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 12:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%8.4%2026-07-17 12:40
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.86%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.35%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.80%8.4%2026-07-17 12:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84%12.5%2026-07-17 12:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84%12.5%2026-07-17 12:45