The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Charles Harris Jr v Jason Limon

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 21:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charles Harris Jr (Local)

Prediction 70.04%1.43fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -10.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.65%70.04%69.48%72.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.341.351.3776.34%74.53%74.35%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jason Limon (Visit)

Prediction 29.96%3.34fair odd
EV +0.949%
Edge +0.282%
Kelly +0.400%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.99%29.96%30.52%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.083.3733.33%31.68%32.52%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charles Harris Jr (Local): 70.04%; Jason Limon (Visit): 29.96%. For Jason Limon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.949%.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -8.24%E -6.29%K -26.58%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV +0.949%E +0.282%K +0.400%G +0.004%6.0%2026-07-18 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -8.24%E -6.29%K -26.58%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV +0.949%E +0.282%K +0.400%G +0.004%6.0%2026-07-18 17:50
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.04%E -2.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 15:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.64%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.64%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.04%E -2.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%8.4%2026-07-17 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84%12.5%2026-07-17 12:44