The School of Odds

Anthony Joshua v Tyson Fury

2026-12-31 22:55 — Boxing

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

12 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Anthony Joshua (Local)

2.3542.55%Min
2.3842.11%Mean
2.3842.11%Median
2.4041.67%Max
39.09%2.558Min
40.66%2.460Max
39.09%2.558Mean
39.09%2.558Median
39.09%2.558IQM
39.09%2.558Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 39.09%

EV -6.19%Edge -2.58%Kelly -4.42%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Tyson Fury (Visit)

1.5464.94%Min
1.5863.49%Mean
1.5863.49%Median
1.6162.11%Max
59.34%1.685Min
60.91%1.642Max
60.91%1.642Mean
60.91%1.642Median
60.91%1.642IQM
60.91%1.642Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.61 under the IQM model: 60.91%

EV -1.93%Edge -1.20%Kelly -3.16%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAnthony Joshua (Local) ▼Tyson Fury (Visit)MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67% NM 39.09%EV -6.19% E -2.58% K -4.42% G +0.000%1.54I 64.94% NM 60.91%EV -6.19% E -4.02% K -11.47% G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-30 23:59
BetUS2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -8.15% E -3.47% K -6.03% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -1.93% E -1.20% K -3.16% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (12)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%1.69I 59.17%15.50I 6.45%5.0%2026-06-26 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%1.69I 59.17%15.50I 6.45%5.0%2026-06-18 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%1.69I 59.17%15.50I 6.45%5.0%2026-06-18 20:40
Coral2.50I 40.00%1.57I 63.69%17.00I 5.88%9.6%2026-04-12 08:34
Unibet2.38I 42.02%1.60I 62.50%18.00I 5.56%10.1%2026-05-01 00:00
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%1.60I 62.50%18.00I 5.56%10.1%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%1.60I 62.50%18.00I 5.56%10.1%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%1.60I 62.50%18.00I 5.56%10.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%1.60I 62.50%18.00I 5.56%10.1%2026-04-30 23:59
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%1.60I 62.50%18.00I 5.56%10.1%2026-05-01 00:05
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%1.60I 62.50%18.00I 5.56%10.1%2026-05-01 00:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%1.62I 61.73%15.00I 6.67%11.9%2026-04-11 22:04