The School of Odds

Anthony Cuba v Misael Cabrera

2026-07-18 21:00 UTC — Boxing

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Anthony Cuba (Local)

Prediction 58.79%1.70fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -3.33%
Kelly -8.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.75%58.79%58.79%58.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.581.601.601.6163%63%63%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Misael Cabrera (Visit)

Prediction 41.21%2.43fair odd
EV -5.21%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%41.21%41.21%41.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.272.272.3044%44%44%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.80%8.2%2026-07-16 11:35