The School of Odds
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Albert Gonzalez v Edward Vazquez

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 01:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albert Gonzalez (Local)

Prediction 87.58%1.14fair odd
EV -5.41%
Edge -5.01%
Kelly -67.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.87%87.61%87.41%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.071.071.0894.34%93.46%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Edward Vazquez (Visit)

Prediction 12.42%8.05fair odd
EV +11.77%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.173%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%12.39%12.59%14.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.747.509.0015.38%12.93%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albert Gonzalez (Local): 87.58%; Edward Vazquez (Visit): 12.42%. For Edward Vazquez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.05. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.77%.

14 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.16%E -6.76%K -119.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.77%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.173%5.5%2026-10-25 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.16%E -6.76%K -119.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.77%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.173%5.5%2026-10-25 00:20
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.82%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV +6.80%E +0.790%K +0.894%G +0.061%5.1%2026-10-25 00:05
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.16%E -6.76%K -119.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.56%E +0.654%K +0.741%G +0.041%6.1%2026-10-25 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-22 18:25
picklebet_au🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 01:05
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 22:15
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.28%E -2.97%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 01:35
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.28%E -2.97%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 01:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (14)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%5.1%2026-10-25 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%5.1%2026-10-25 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%5.1%2026-10-25 01:50
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.46%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%7.4%2026-10-24 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.57%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%8.2%2026-10-24 19:45
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.57%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%8.2%2026-10-24 19:45
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.72%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%8.6%2026-10-25 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.72%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%8.6%2026-10-25 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.72%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%8.6%2026-10-25 01:45
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.72%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%8.6%2026-10-25 01:50
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.72%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%8.6%2026-10-25 01:44
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.40%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%9.0%2026-10-24 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.40%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%9.0%2026-10-24 22:10
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.86%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.29%11.1%2026-10-22 09:35