Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wyoming Cowgirls v Air Force Falcons

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wyoming Cowgirls (Local)

Prediction 51.46%1.94fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.53%51.34%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.821.831.8756.50%54.83%54.79%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 48.54%2.06fair odd
EV -0.496%
Edge -0.242%
Kelly -0.472%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.47%48.66%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.942.0553.48%51.45%51.55%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wyoming Cowgirls (Local): 51.46%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 48.54%. For Air Force Falcons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -0.496%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.77%E -2.01%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.35%E -2.74%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:40
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -2.01%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.94%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:48
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.83%E -3.18%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.32%E -3.27%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 18:54
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.83%E -3.18%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.32%E -3.27%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 18:54
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.34%E -3.48%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.81%E -3.54%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.496%E -0.242%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.35%E -2.74%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:34
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.91%E -5.04%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.35%E -2.74%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-07 19:44