The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Wisconsin Badgers v Iowa Hawkeyes

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wisconsin Badgers (Local)

Prediction 9.57%10.45fair odd
EV +14.86%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.201%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.05%9.46%9.78%10.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.1810.0012.0011.11%9.82%10.00%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 90.43%1.11fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -46.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.46%90.54%90.22%91.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.051.041.0797.09%95.58%95.69%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisconsin Badgers (Local): 9.57%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 90.43%. For Wisconsin Badgers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.45. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +14.86%E +1.24%K +1.35%G +0.201%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 16:49
BetMGM🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +5.29%E +0.481%K +0.529%G +0.028%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.05%E -4.81%K -101.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 17:00
Fliff🎯10.55I 9.48%NM 8.89%EV +0.981%E +0.093%K +0.103%G +0.001%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.11%EV -6.86%E -6.66%K -228.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:59
Unibet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.28%E -0.428%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.95%E -5.73%K -148.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 18:00
Bally Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.28%E -0.428%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.95%E -5.73%K -148.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 18:00
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -9.07%E -0.955%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -6.86%E -6.66%K -228.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 17:59
Fanatics🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV -10.03%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -3.24%E -3.03%K -46.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:39
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.86%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.15%E -3.91%K -69.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-03-01 16:44