Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers v Oklahoma St Cowgirls

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 71.45%1.40fair odd
EV +0.034%
Edge +0.024%
Kelly +0.084%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%71.03%71.88%72.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.311.4077.52%75.13%76.05%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma St Cowgirls (Visit)

Prediction 28.55%3.50fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.864%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%28.97%28.12%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.263.383.4034.48%30.63%29.63%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 71.45%; Oklahoma St Cowgirls (Visit): 28.55%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.3995. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.4000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.034%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +0.034%E +0.024%K +0.084%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -17.21%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:00
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -2.11%E -1.54%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -17.21%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.82%E -2.08%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:00
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.82%E -2.08%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:57
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.97%E -3.74%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 18:59
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:59
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-02-21 19:00
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 77.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 22.47%29.0%2026-02-21 18:59