The School of College Oddsodds.college
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West Virginia Mountaineers v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 83.14%1.20fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -16.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.16%83.31%82.96%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.131.1790.09%88.26%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 16.86%5.93fair odd
EV +9.58%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.167%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%16.69%17.04%17.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.695.606.5019.05%17.56%17.86%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 83.14%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 16.86%. For Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.93. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.88%E -6.14%K -57.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +9.58%E +1.47%K +1.74%G +0.167%4.7%2026-03-06 23:14
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.88%E -6.14%K -57.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +5.36%E +0.858%K +1.02%G +0.055%5.3%2026-03-06 18:27
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.71%E -6.95%K -70.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -2.22%E -0.384%K -0.463%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 23:24
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.39%E -3.81%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -3.07%E -0.533%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 17:29
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.05%E -5.35%K -46.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -5.60%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.05%E -5.35%K -46.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -5.60%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.05%E -5.35%K -46.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.72%E -2.33%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -8.97%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.05%E -5.35%K -46.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -10.65%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.22%E -4.58%K -37.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -11.50%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 20:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%2.3%2026-03-06 23:24
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 84.33%5.38I 18.59%NM 15.67%18.6%2026-03-06 20:50