Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Weber State Wildcats v Denver Pioneers

Kickoff: 2026-11-07 23:05 UTC

Final: Weber State Wildcats 64–51 Denver Pioneers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

68%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Weber State Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 67.61%1.48fair odd

EV -4.68%

Edge -3.32%

Kelly -11.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.38%67.61%67.61%67.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.381.401.401.4172.46%71.68%71.68%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Pioneers (Visit)

Prediction 32.39%3.09fair odd

EV -4.44%

Edge -1.50%

Kelly -2.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.34%32.39%32.39%32.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.852.912.922.9535.09%34.39%34.31%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Weber State Wildcats (Local): 67.61%; Denver Pioneers (Visit): 32.39%. For Denver Pioneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -4.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.41%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-07 23:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.68%E -3.32%K -11.41%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-07 22:58
BetRivers🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-07 23:00
Fliff🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-07 23:01

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 62.18%	2.22I 45.05%NM 37.82%	19.1%	2026-11-07 23:00

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