Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies v USC Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies (Local)

Prediction 39.40%2.54fair odd
EV +6.37%
Edge +2.36%
Kelly +3.75%
Growth +0.238%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.78%39.17%39.45%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.482.452.7045.45%40.27%40.82%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USC Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 60.60%1.65fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%60.83%60.55%65.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.531.531.6269.93%65.45%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Huskies (Local): 39.40%; USC Trojans (Visit): 60.60%. For Washington Huskies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +6.37%E +2.36%K +3.75%G +0.238%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.12%E -8.36%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +6.37%E +2.36%K +3.75%G +0.238%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -12.73%E -8.84%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV +4.40%E +1.66%K +2.67%G +0.117%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -13.34%E -9.33%K -31.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 16:49
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.458%E +0.180%K +0.295%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 16:45
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.48%E -1.42%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.85%E -3.09%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.64%E -2.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 16:20
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.49%E -5.62%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 16:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.43%E -1.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.33%E -6.06%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.82%E -1.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-03-05 16:45