Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons v Florida St Seminoles

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local)

Prediction 51.60%1.94fair odd

EV -1.45%

Edge -0.761%

Kelly -1.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

49.20%51.69%52.08%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.771.841.831.9156.50%54.25%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida St Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd

EV +1.65%

Edge +0.786%

Kelly +1.50%

Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.74%48.31%47.92%50.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.851.931.912.1054.05%51.84%52.36%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local): 51.60%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 48.40%. For Florida St Seminoles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.68%E -4.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.65%E +0.786%K +1.50%G +0.025%	4.1%	2026-03-01 20:50
Fanatics🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-01 20:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.13%E -3.96%K -8.91%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.61%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-01 19:49
FanDuel🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -8.68%E -4.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -6.58%E -3.41%K -7.07%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-01 20:39
DraftKings🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.45%E -0.761%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.29%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-01 18:04
Fliff🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.13%E -3.96%K -8.91%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.29%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-01 20:54
Unibet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -1.45%E -0.761%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -9.97%E -5.36%K -11.59%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-01 18:59
Bally Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -1.45%E -0.761%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -10.45%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-01 18:59
BetRivers🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -10.45%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-01 18:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%	2.9%	2026-03-01 20:34