Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies v Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies (Local)

Prediction 81.65%1.22fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -14.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.45%81.46%81.95%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.151.141.1988.50%86.71%87.72%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Visit)

Prediction 18.35%5.45fair odd
EV +1.86%
Edge +0.336%
Kelly +0.410%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%18.54%18.05%20.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.075.105.5521.74%19.72%19.61%18.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Tech Hokies (Local): 81.65%; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Visit): 18.35%. For Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.07%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +1.86%E +0.336%K +0.410%G +0.008%4.2%2026-02-22 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -2.72%E -0.514%K -0.633%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.92%E -6.07%K -49.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -3.64%E -0.694%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.92%E -6.07%K -49.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -6.39%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 19:00
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.92%E -6.07%K -49.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -6.39%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.92%E -6.07%K -49.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -6.39%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 19:00
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -10.98%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.90%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.84%E -2.39%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -15.57%E -3.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%5.3%2026-02-22 19:00