Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies v Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies (Local)

Prediction 71.86%1.39fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -6.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.18%72.17%71.65%75.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.311.301.3680.65%76.60%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Visit)

Prediction 28.14%3.55fair odd
EV +6.91%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.171%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%27.83%28.35%29.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.8031.25%29.22%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Tech Hokies (Local): 71.86%; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Visit): 28.14%. For Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -10.89%E -8.78%K -45.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.91%E +1.82%K +2.47%G +0.171%7.0%2026-03-05 21:35
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.01%E -6.26%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -0.119%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.01%E -6.26%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -0.119%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -8.73%E -6.88%K -32.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -0.119%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:15
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.98%E -2.21%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 21:04
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:08
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.97%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:20
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.86%E -4.47%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.97%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 00:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-06 00:20
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 79.12%3.79I 26.39%NM 20.88%26.4%2026-03-05 21:45