The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Virginia Cavaliers v Virginia Tech Hokies

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 61.15%1.64fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.28%61.05%61.19%62.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.561.571.5865.79%64.19%63.69%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit)

Prediction 38.85%2.57fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.75%38.95%38.81%40.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.402.5443.48%41.71%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 61.15%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 38.85%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.54, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.39%E -2.14%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:59
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 15:59
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:59
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:59
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.61%E -2.95%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.76%E -2.81%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.32%E -0.518%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 16:29
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -7.05%E -4.64%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.38%EV -5.20%E -2.13%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-01 16:29