The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Virginia Cavaliers v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 01:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 55.95%1.79fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -6.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%55.95%55.96%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.691.7161.73%59.28%59.00%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 44.05%2.27fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.997%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.05%44.04%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.152.152.2247.62%46.51%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 55.95%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 44.05%. For Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -2.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 00:59
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 00:59
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.86%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:59
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 01:00
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.21%E -0.997%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:56
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 01:04
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.00%E -3.57%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.62%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 01:04
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 01:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-20 01:05