Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.33
assuming max odds 4.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Villanova Wildcats (Local): 73.91%; Seton Hall Pirates (Visit): 26.09%. For Seton Hall Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.96%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.61%E -6.09%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +6.96%E +1.70%K +2.25%G +0.156% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.83%E -8.06%K -44.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.35%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.83%E -8.06%K -44.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.35%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.83%E -8.06%K -44.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.35%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.83%E -8.06%K -44.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +3.05%E +0.772%K +1.03%G +0.032% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.18%E -2.42%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.70%E -1.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 15:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.92%E -3.01%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 15:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 20:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 77.17% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 22.83% | 29.6% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |