The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Villanova Wildcats v Marquette Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 20:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Villanova Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 78.14%1.28fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -12.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.41%78.41%77.88%80.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.201.201.2484.03%83.03%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 21.86%4.57fair odd
EV +7.11%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.129%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.54%21.59%22.12%22.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.374.304.9023.81%22.90%23.26%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Villanova Wildcats (Local): 78.14%; Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit): 21.86%. For Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -7.01%E -5.89%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +7.11%E +1.45%K +1.82%G +0.129%4.4%2026-02-22 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.45%E -4.50%K -25.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.548%E +0.119%K +0.152%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-22 18:55
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.23%E -5.19%K -31.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 19:45
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.23%E -5.19%K -31.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 19:45
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.01%E -5.89%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.10%E -2.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 18:27
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.23%E -5.19%K -31.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 19:45
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.45%E -4.50%K -25.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.23%E -5.19%K -31.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-02-22 20:25