Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vermont Catamounts v Maine Black Bears

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vermont Catamounts (Local)

Prediction 77.79%1.29fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -7.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.60%77.25%77.78%78.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.221.211.2683.33%82.14%82.64%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maine Black Bears (Visit)

Prediction 22.21%4.50fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -0.672%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%22.75%22.22%25.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.194.254.4027.03%23.88%23.53%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vermont Catamounts (Local): 77.79%; Maine Black Bears (Visit): 22.21%. For Vermont Catamounts (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.26, with an expected value of -1.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -1.98%E -1.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -17.83%E -4.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.54%E -2.85%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 20:40
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.29%E -0.520%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 20:45
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.62%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 20:44
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.62%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 20:45
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.62%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 21:00
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.25%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -7.84%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%4.0%2026-03-13 21:00