Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vermont Catamounts v Albany Great Danes

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vermont Catamounts (Local)

Prediction 85.10%1.18fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -3.39%
Kelly -29.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.58%85.10%85.53%86.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.091.1392.59%91.19%91.74%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albany Great Danes (Visit)

Prediction 14.90%6.71fair odd
EV +4.28%
Edge +0.611%
Kelly +0.713%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.47%14.90%14.47%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.576.637.0017.39%15.23%15.09%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vermont Catamounts (Local): 85.10%; Albany Great Danes (Visit): 14.90%. For Albany Great Danes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.71. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.24%E -6.64%K -80.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.28%E +0.611%K +0.713%G +0.031%6.0%2026-03-05 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.24%E -6.64%K -80.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.28%E +0.611%K +0.713%G +0.031%6.0%2026-03-05 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -8.09%E -7.49%K -101.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +0.555%E +0.082%K +0.097%G +0.001%7.4%2026-03-05 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.39%E -5.81%K -63.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.17%E -0.488%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 22:59
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -7.24%E -6.64%K -80.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -4.66%E -0.728%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.83%E -3.39%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.34%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.