Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.33
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 73.61%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 26.39%. For Vanderbilt Commodores (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.33, with an expected value of -2.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.10%E -1.58%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 21:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.83%E -2.15%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.51%E -5.13%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.25%E -5.75%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.25%E -5.75%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 22:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.25%E -5.75%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 22:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 77.83% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 22.17% | 28.5% | 2026-03-06 22:14 |