The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Vanderbilt Commodores v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 70.07%1.43fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -8.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%69.85%70.18%70.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.3875.76%73.48%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 29.93%3.34fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.843%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.20%30.15%29.82%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.133.2534.48%32.26%32.00%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 70.07%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 29.93%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -2.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 18:15
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 18:15
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.21%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 17:59
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:08
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 17:04
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 19:00
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.10%E -4.55%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 20:15
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.50%E -5.68%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%2.9%2026-02-22 20:45